Tuesday, 07/06/11

Innovation by Optimisation

How marketers must approach a high-cost business environment

by Kevin Keane, Director of Business Science, MediaCom Canada

Kevin Keane

The past few months have seen companies across a range of industries announce price increases (mostly) in response to rising input costs. From Hersheys to Toyota, Proctor and Gamble to Tim Hortons, no firm is immune to global economic dynamics shifting up cost bases. Marketers may believe they can do little to control these underlying economic shifts, and they'd be right; their tactics alone won't slow emerging market resource demand nor relax the factors restricting supply. But they'd be wrong to believe they play no role in managing and mitigating the impact of these increases.

To start, price is the single greatest communication tool available to companies. It signals to the market the perceived value of a good or service, indicating what firms believe consumers are willing to pay. It carries connotations of status and elements of desire, and all brand identities - bar none - are closely tied to their pricing models. One need only think of Apple, which just recently topped Millward Brown's survey of most valuable brands. At $153B, it's worth roughly the annual economic output of the entire country of Peru, and recognizes the ongoing price premium that Apple products command over competitors. When prices shift so too does a product's value proposition. This poses challenges to marketers who must re-define that value proposition to remain competitive.

Secondly, given that (most) companies operate in a (mostly) competitive environment, price does not exist in isolation. One company's pricing strategy in theory impacts an ecosystem of players, the extent to which depends on a variety of factors including the availability of substitutes, the closeness of complimentary products, the presence of switching costs, brand strength, and so on. To understand what short and long-term implications are in store for the brand's overall health, marketers must take full stock of a product's competitive ecosystem.

Finally, price increases have a ripple effect for consumers. Increases in food and gas prices squeeze discretionary budgets, leaving less to spend each month on non-essentials. This shrinking pie forces companies hawking non-essential goods to get more competitive, with pricing strategy likely a key feature as companies duke it out for share. Indeed, this share fight is one of the reasons we're seeing an increase in merger and acquisition activity this year. For marketers, capturing share will require new ideas and insights to meaningfully connect brands with consumers, whilst articulating an irresistible value proposition to encourage consumers to part with a greater share of their budgets.

So what can marketers do?

Marketers can play a pivotal role in this changing environment in two ways: as cost managers and innovation brokers.

Marketing is not an insignificant share of cost of sales. An analysis by GroupM Business Science reveals that marketing costs for the QSR category are anywhere from 1% to 5% of total sales depending on the business (most average between 2-3%). For the Canadian fast food market, valued at about $25 billion dollars in 2010, that means a marketing spend of anywhere from $250 million to $1.25 billion. Marketing as a percentage of costs in most cases is even higher.

What's astonishing, however, is not the size of the marketing budget but rather how it's invested: often blindly. Return on marketing investment isn't a new concept, but in a time where the data and the capabilities exist to predict with a great degree of accuracy the business return of each dollar spent, too few marketers are taking advantage. The reasons for this vary - from legacy beliefs of marketing as more art than science, to a general paralysis due to data deluge to concerns about methodologies and results.

But for marketers that apply econometric modelling techniques to their activity, the results speak for themselves: MediaCom Business Science analyses typically reveal cost savings or sales generating findings worth 25-35% of marketing spend, and sometimes more. So, assuming the entire Canadian QSR category marketing investment in 2010 was $1B, applying these techniques would return in the neighborhood of $250M in cost efficiencies and added sales.

These efficiencies can help marketers to hold out on raising prices longer than their competitors, thus allowing them to steal share by attracting the price sensitive.

Marketers can be cost managers beyond advanced analytics. Take media, for instance. For many advertisers, media represents the greatest share of marketing budgets. To reduce this share - or at least get much more out of their media investment - marketers in Canada need to more fully embrace the Web. Whereas in the UK, online accounts for more than 25 percent of advertising spend, in Canada, it's less than 15%.

Granted, British ecommerce infrastructure is much further developed - its population density, for one, affords companies a 70m-person market to service easily through a single distribution point - Canadians frequently rank at the top of international Internet usage and web media consumption tables; this alone warrants greater allocation of advertising budget to online.

If it doesn't, then the ROI differential between traditional and online media certainly should. Across virtually all return on marketing investment analyses performed by GroupM Business Science, online media outperforms traditional media in sales generated per dollar spent by 10-20X (and in some cases more than 50X).

Part of this is due to an overall lower average media cost and part of this is due to the data-driven efficiency with which online media can deliver results. And, of course, part of this is due to the lower share of budget online commands. What this suggests, however, is that advertisers are nowhere close to saturation or diminishing returns in the online space, and would be wise to shift more budget share there to generate superior returns.

A shift to online media has the added strategic benefit of investing in rich consumer data. As each online activity leaves a data trail, marketers can take a quantum leap towards their utopia - complete understanding of human behaviour. Crunching this data can give companies unprecedented insight into higher- and alternative-need states of consumers, thus giving them the leg up on the competition for shrunken consumer discretionary budgets.

And by packaging these insights into business cases, marketers can become innovation brokers. Internally, an insight gleaned from consumer data that aligns with a business' core capabilities can be quickly fed into product development.

A simple illustration of this is the MyStarbucksIdea platform, which engages 20m Starbucks fans from a number of social media outlets. This platform encourages users to share ideas on how to make their Starbucks experience better. The ideas are then discussed and voted on. Successful ones get implemented, like the (very useful) spill-stopping green stick, the insight for which came from this platform.

If the insight does not align, the company can look to develop new or extend existing capabilities, or identify suitable external partnerships to value and commercialize the insight.

To illustrate, let's take a hypothetical example. A large packaged goods company has a strategic goal to reduce its carbon footprint by 50% in the next five years. As a company with many large brands, it seeks to engage its customers by challenging them to come up with ideas for it to achieve these targets. It uses TV, social media and other channels to drive ideators to its microsite. These enthusiasts come up with thousands of ideas, from reduced packaging to greener alternative product components, most of which the company can implement on its own or with its suppliers. However, they begins to receive suggestions around green waste management, specifically waste to energy conversion. This isn't the company's core competency, but it does know of a few businesses that specialize in the area. It uses this insight, as well as its microsite communication platform and consumer data to present a business case for investment in waste to energy conversion, and shares the spoils with an eventual partner.

By advertising in this medium and crunching the data, marketers can develop deep innovation pipelines, and alternative data and insight revenue streams, both ways to manage and mitigate the impacts of price rises.

In this higher cost business environment, marketers must approach their trade more strategically and scientifically. By leveraging marketing and customer analytics, and shifting media investments towards channels delivering higher business returns, marketers can improve operational efficiency, product innovation, and overall profitability.

This allows them to hold prices steady longer than the competition, providing opportunities to steal share and a longer lead time to understand the full implications of eventual price rises on their competitive ecosystems. It also better positions them to understand and service the changing needs of consumers, and potentially frees up budget to explore value-generating partnerships grounded in rich consumer insight.

Getting Started

The easiest option for marketers would be sticking their heads in the sand and pretending the status quo is good enough. It isn't. Smarter competitors will outflank you with lower-cost, evidence-driven marketing and innovation, attracting both investors and consumers.

  • Do a data audit. Taking stock of what you're measuring against the backdrop of critical business questions is the first step towards answering them. Identify data and measurement gaps and source partners that can help bridge these.
  • Do a top-line marketing ROI analysis. At a rough cost of $100-200K, this analysis may seem expensive, but it will pay back multiples in future cost savings and sales generated as you begin to understand how to make your marketing budget work harder. This analysis will also tell you the relative performance of media channels in driving sales, helping you to understand the (spare) capacity online media has to return business results for you.
  • Map out an initial data investment strategy with other key internal stakeholders. What you're likely to find is significant overlap between business function data needs; for example, between marketing, public relations, product development and customer service. Look to make strategic plays in online media (display, mobile, search, social), analytics and data management to satisfy multiple stakeholder interests and share costs.

As Director of Business Science at MediaCom Canada, Kevin Keane consults clients on data strategy and how to deliver greater returns on marketing investment.


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